Fantasy Football Draft Prep: How to Draft From Fourth Overall Pick in a Full Point PPR League

Trying to find the right balance of wide receivers and running backs in your Fantasy Football drafts is always hard to do, but it could be even harder in 2022 than usual. Because, while running back remains a gamble after the early rounds like every year, the wide receiver depth in the early rounds doesn’t seem to be there.

We are in a period of transition at the post. Many of the best players from past seasons are now in their late 20s, a time when wide receivers often start to fall off their highs. And this offseason has seen so much turnover at that position that Tyreek Hill and Davante Adams no longer seem like the infallible superstars they once were.

In our series of pick-by-pick drafts, I ended up with Tyreek Hill with the fourth pick of the third round, which is objectively good value based on where he usually goes: his ADP is 21, 2 in the NFC drafts right now and I got him in 28th place overall, so that’s nothing to complain about, is there? Well, you can always find fault with it, especially when your No. 1 wide receiver changes teams from Patrick Mahomes to unproven Tua Tagovailoa.

Here is my full squad from the #4 spot:

1.4: Austin Ekeler, RB, Chargers
2.9: Josh Allen, QB, Bills
3.4: Tyreek Hill, WR, Dolphins
4.9: George Kittle, TE, 49ers
5.4: Jaylen Waddle, WR, Dolphins
6.9: Amon-Ra St. Brown, WR, Lions
7.4: Robert Woods, WR, Titans
8.9: Damien Harris, RB, Patriots
9.4: Chase Claypool, WR, Steelers
10.9: Kenneth Gainwell, RB, Eagles
11.4: Jarvis Landry, WR, Saints
12.9: Kenny Golladay, WR, Giants
13.4: Samaje Perine, RB, Bengals
14.9: Mecole Hardman, WR, Chiefs
15.4: Jamaal Williams, RB, Lions

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As you can see, I compounded the risk by pairing Hill with teammate Jaylen Waddle. Again, the value is hard to argue, as Waddle dropped me to 52nd from his ADP of 34.9. But I have concerns about how Waddle will go from the No. 1 target in an RPO-heavy offense to the No. 2 in an all-new offense that doesn’t necessarily have the volume to support two must-have receivers. , based on how it generally worked in San Francisco, at least.

But there’s also the fact that Hill and Waddle could well walk away from each other, which could potentially hurt my team. It’s no guarantee things won’t work out – they’re both incredibly talented players, and there are benefits beyond them at wide receiver – but it’s a sign of how things can go a little sideways at the wide receiver if you don’t. Don’t prioritize early. When I took Josh Allen with my second pick instead of someone like Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel or AJ Brown, I was putting myself in a situation where I might not like my WRs.

I think getting a QB early is a good idea this season, but it’s important to remember who you’re drafting with — in this case, a bunch of QB-hating fantasy analysts who do things like let Justin Herbert and Patrick Mahomes go down in the fifth round. In more typical leagues, where QBs tend to be pushed up, Allen is more of a priority. When I pick with the pundits, I probably hurt my team by pushing Allen to the board. Of course, if he scores 30 points per game, it won’t matter much and it will cover many other apparent holes.

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Favorite Choice: Kenneth Gainwell

Getting Gainwell on round 10 is a steal. I think he will have stand-alone value in the Eagles offense as a No. 2, but the real upside comes if Miles Sanders falls out of favor or loses his job. The Eagles already relied on Gainwell in the red zone last season and he seems to be the main catcher in most situations, so there is a huge advantage here. Damien Harris is my RB2 to open the season, but if Gainwell overtakes him, it increases my team cap significantly.

Choose I Might Regret: Josh Allen

It’s not that Allen won’t be good or make a difference. Even as deep as QB most seasons, the top guys still give you a bigger advantage than before. However, if Allen runs a little less this season, especially near the end zone, he could be a little less decisive than he has been. And, given how much earlier I took him than the rest of the quarterbacks, that’s a big gamble that might not entirely pay off.

Player who could make or break my team: Jaylen Waddle

It’s not out of the question that the Dolphins could have two top-12 receivers, but it does require Tagovailoa to do something he’s never really shown he can do. Waddle received a steady diet of quick passes out of the RPO game last season, and that volume likely won’t be there this season, so he’ll have to compensate by being more efficient, especially as a big-play receiver. do, Hill’s presence won’t cost him too much, but it’s obviously a gamble.

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