Fantasy Football Rankings 2022: Busts of the analytical model who labeled Julio Jones’ disappointing season

Defending NFL running champion Jonathan Taylor will be a top 2022 fantasy football pick in most drafts. The third-year running back rushed for 1,811 yards and 18 touchdowns last season while showing versatility with 51 receptions for 360 yards. He was consistent in his first two seasons in the league, as he finished third in rushing yards in his rookie campaign. Taylor has become the youngest player in NFL history with at least 2,000 scrimmage yards and 20 total touchdowns in a single season, but should he be No. 1 on your 2022 fantasy football rankings, and could he potentially become one of the fantasy football 2022 busts due to his fantasy football 2022 ADP? As you begin your preparation for the 2022 Fantasy Football Draft, be sure to check out SportsLine’s tried-and-true 2022 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheets.

Last year, SportsLine’s model accurately predicted that Titans wide receiver Julio Jones was significantly overvalued. He was drafted in the fifth round on average, but SportsLine predicted he wasn’t even close to being a top-20 wide receiver. Jones ended up pulling off an incredibly disappointing stat line, catching 31 passes for 434 yards and a touchdown.

The same model has a proven track record in providing fantasy football advice, also identifying AJ Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and JuJu Smith-Schuster as a fantasy football bust last season. He also nailed Jonathan Taylor’s big season and was all over Jaylen Waddle to outplay his fantasy football ADP. Plus, he calls out former fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anyone who bet on players like these ran their way to the league title .

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The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major fantasy sites, and it beat the human experts last season when there was a big difference in rankings. Projections are updated several times a day, so you always get the best fantasy football tips.

Now SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest 2022 fantasy football rankings, along with numerous sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head over to SportsLine now to see them.

Top 2022 Fantasy Football Busts

One of the fantasy football busts of 2022 that the model predicts: Cardinals running back James Conner. Arizona was happy with what it got out of Conner last season, re-signing him to a three-year, $21 million deal this offseason. He’s paid as a top-10 running back despite ranking outside the top 25 in rushing yards last year.

Conner is overrated in fantasy football drafts because he was second in the NFL in rushing touchdowns (15) last season. Owners should be wary of drafting a player who is dependent on scoring touchdowns at a high rate, as there is a lot of variance. SportsLine’s model has allowed Conner to finish behind Alvin Kamara and Christian McCaffrey in production this season, even though both are available a lap later, on average.

Another bust that SportsLine’s 2022 Fantasy Football Rankings has identified: Packers wide receiver Allen Lazard. He can see a default no-target-hog bump like Davante Adams and his former running mate Marquez Valdes-Scantling, but overall he hasn’t progressed much as a player on his own. His total receiving yards over the past three seasons are in the range of 36, and although he scored eight touchdowns in 2021-22, he had just 15% of the Packers’ passing yards.

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Valdes-Scantling, who finished with 430 receiving yards, just 83 less than Lazard, had a 17% share. Lazard hasn’t shown himself capable of creating many goals or yards on his own, and without Adams to worry opposing defenses, that could become an even bigger concern this season. Lazard’s 2022 seventh-round average fantasy football ADP is too high for SportsLine’s model, which projects lower-round options like Courtland Sutton, Rashod Bateman and Allen Robinson to surpass it.

How to find the proven 2022 fantasy football rankings

SportsLine is also extremely weak on a running back coming off the board in the third or fourth round on average on 2022 fantasy football drafts. The model ranks him outside of its top 24 running backs for 2022 and expects that that he is experiencing a major regression after a breakout season in 2021. You can only see who it is and the 2022 Fantasy Football Rankings for each player, on SportsLine.

So which Fantasy Football 2022 breakouts should you aim for? And which RB won’t live up to expectations in 2022? Visit SportsLine now for Fantasy Football 2022 cheat sheets for every position, all from the model who told you to avoid Julio Jones in 2021, and find out.

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