UCF vs SMU odds, line, spread: 2022 college football picks, predictions from proven computer model

Last week’s college football schedule remained relatively intact despite the damage inflicted by Hurricane Ian. But a game was rescheduled first for Sunday, then for Wednesday, and that’s when the SMU Mustangs will travel to Orlando to face the UCF Knights. UCF is 3-1, while SMU is 2-2, though the Mustangs have lost two single-scored games to Power Five opponents.

Kickoff is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET from FBC Mortgage Stadium, also known as Bounce House. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Knights at -2.5 in the latest UCF vs. SMU odds. The over/under of the total points is set at 63.5. Before making any SMU vs. UCF picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and betting tips from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine projection model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an astonishing profit of over $3,100 for $100 players on its college football top picks against the spread. Everyone who followed him saw huge returns.

Now the model has set its sights on UCF vs. SMU. You can head over to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football odds for SMU vs. UCF:

  • Difference UCF vs SMU: UCF -2.5
  • UCF vs. SMU over/under: 63.5 points
  • UCF vs. SMU picks: See the picks here

What you need to know about UCF

The Knights are generally known for their offense, a reputation that was bolstered by the hiring of former Auburn head coach Gus Malzahn ahead of the 2021 season. But they did it defensively in 2022, dropping only 13.5 points per game. They held Georgia Tech to 10 points last time out, largely due to forcing the Yellow Jackets to convert just 4 of 16 attempts on third and fourth downs.

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On the other side of the ball, UCF are led by transfer Ole Miss John Rhys Plumlee. A talented athlete who has played quarterback and wide receiver, as well as baseball, for the Rebels, Plumlee is locked in at QB for Malzahn. He threw for 827 yards and five touchdowns, while adding 404 yards and four rushing scores.

What you need to know about SMU

Meanwhile, the Mustangs fell to the TCU Horned Frogs two weeks ago in a 42-34 final. SMU’s loss shouldn’t overshadow the performances of running back Tre Siggers, who had three rushing touchdowns, and wide receiver Jake Bailey, who caught eight passes for a touchdown and 163 yards.

It’s a contrast of offensive styles, with UCF ranking third nationally in rushing yardage with 274.5 per game. SMU, meanwhile, has the fifth-most yards per game in the nation with an average of 353.

How to Make UCF vs SMU Picks

The model simulated UCF against SMU 10,000 times and the results are there. The model looks at the total, and it also generated a point pick that hits in over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick on SportsLine.

Who will win SMU against UCF? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out, all about the model who crushed his college football picks.

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